Monday, January 17, 2011

2010-11 Mid-Season NBA Small Forward Rankings

With many NBA teams at or soon to cross the midway point of their season it's time to take a good look at who's producing and who's not. After the 2009-10 season I created a cumulative ranking system that included five different types of advanced statistical analysis. If you'd like to take a look at those ratings I suggest you start with the 2009-10 NBA Point Guard Rankings. That post explains the ranking system I used.

For 2010-11 I've changed the rating system up a bit by substituting the Estimated Wins Added analysis for Wins Above Replacement Player. So the five evaluations utilized in the ranking system are:
Another thing I've done that will shed much more light on my process and refute some of the questions of its validity is to include all of the stats and ranks in the five categories.  To get the final rank I add the totals of the five separate ranks.  A lower total score is better so I list them in ascending order.

Because of all the fanfare around the potential trade of Carmelo Anthony I decided to start my midseason rankings with the small forwards.  As a Syracuse alum I am a big Carmelo fan, but it is interesting to note that at number six the Knicks' Wilson Chandler currently ranks one notch above Carmelo.

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PLAYERPERRankEWARankSimpleRankO Rat.RankD RatRankTotalsFinal Rank
.
LeBron James, MIA25.91111.6114.5111471012121
.
Paul Pierce, BOS20.7136.9311.3211931012132
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Kevin Durant, OKC23.9829.529.24114710829443
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Rudy Gay, MEM18.9956.5410.531092110515484
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Tayshaun Prince, DET16.5193.981.419111151035565
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Wilson Chandler, NY17.1274.566.47114710933606
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Carmelo Anthony, DEN20.4345.557.551053010725697
.
Matt Barnes, LAL14.8141.6221.717113131035718
.
Luol Deng, CHI14.58173.2102.715107251035729
.
Mike Dunleavy, IND14.19232185.1811115104117510
.
Danny Granger, IND16.588473.31110238104117510
.
Andrei Kirilenko, UTAH15.51123.1112.71511115107257812
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Richard Jefferson, SA14.29212.4151.1201165106238413
.
C.J. Miles, UTAH16.47102.5147610530107258514
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Grant Hill, PHX17.1663.692.8131156114558915
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Gerald Wallace, CHA14.27222.1174.69102381051510116
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Shawn Marion, DAL15.87112.813-3.238105301041110317
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Marvin Williams, ATL13.76281.5230.12311471062310418
.
Caron Butler, DAL14.61161.8214.41099481051511019
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James Jones, MIA11.63410.5351.51813011051511019
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Jared Dudley, PHX14.8213218-0.42411741135111019
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Chris Douglas-Roberts, MIL13.36300.829-0.92710921103511222
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Nicolas Batum, POR14.39192.316-3.34011471093311523
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Dorell Wright, GS14.65153.111-0.526108231124912424
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Hedo Turkoglu, ORL14.1724218-4.143113131082912725
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Carlos Delfino, MIL12.68340.3403.21210337103512826
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Shane Battier, HOU12.5371.3240.721111151093313027
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Paul George, IND14.55180.535-7.2511062899113328
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Shawne Williams, NY14.39190.733-54712021093313429
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Chase Budinger, HOU14.14251.324-0.424107251103913730
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Ron Artest, LAL11.84400.829-231108231051513831
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Cartier Martin, WSH13.07310.3402.813110201103914332
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Vladimir Radmanovic, GS14.08261.127-3.137111151103914433
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Reggie Williams, GS13.56291.324-2.83511471165715234
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Corey Maggette, MIL13.8227128-4.445102381051515335
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Omri Casspi, SAC12.56350.829-2.734106281082915536
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Julian Wright, TOR12.7330.4380.422105301103916237
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Al Thornton, WSH12.46380.829-0.927107251114616538
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Trevor Ariza, NO10.84420.242-3369454101217639
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Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, MIL9.1748-0.651-2.33310046103518340
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Al-Farouq Aminu, LAC12.02390.535-4.14396501072519241
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Austin Daye, DET12.95320.634-6.450102381103919342
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Martell Webster, MIN12.55360.438-3.842105301135119743
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James Posey, IND8.752-0.651-5.749102381041120144
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Quincy Pondexter, NO7.5455-0.549-3.238100461051520345
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Dominic McGuire, CHA9.4146-0.245-7.75396501051520946
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Mickael Pietrus, ORL8.7251-0.651-3.441102381082921047
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Donte Greene, SAC8.8649-0.446-1.52991561093321348
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Wesley Johnson, MIN9.6245-0.549-231104361145521649
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Linas Kleiza, TOR10.5144043-1.93096501135121850
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Ryan Gomes, LAC8.7550-154-4.846105301103921951
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Rodney Carney, GS10.7643043-8.555102381135123052
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Travis Outlaw, NJ8.6253-1.255-54796501103924453
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Jamario Moon, CLE9.2247-0.446-85494541114624754
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Maurice Evans, ATL6.3956-1.255-8.95699481093324855
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Gordon Hayward, UTAH8.2854-0.446-9.557101451124925156
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Stephen Graham, NJ4.657-1.557-7.25188571114626857

I'll soon post some additional observations, including the biggest gainers and droppers from last season.

In the mean time let me know your thoughts - what are the biggest surprises to you on the list?

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