Showing posts with label Detroit Pistons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Detroit Pistons. Show all posts

Monday, November 1, 2010

What's Gone Wrong with the NBA's 0-3 Teams?

It's almost a full week into the NBA season.  There are five teams in the NBA that have gotten off to an 0-3 start - Charlotte Bobcats, Detroit Pistons, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Clippers and Philadelphia 76ers.  While that is certainly not a death sentence, it's never a good idea to dig yourself a hole at the beginning of the season.  Each team has its own reasons for its slow start and different levels of hope for the future.

Phot source: lanchongzi
Charlotte Bobcats
How'd they get to 0-3?
101-86 at Dallas, 104-101 to Indiana at home and 98-88 at Milwaukee

What's gone wrong?
The Bobcats are 29th in the NBA in turnovers, averaging 18.3 per game.  That is especially bad because they play at the 29th slowest pace in the NBA.  Gerald Wallace is the biggest offender.  He's averaging five turnovers a game.  Charlotte is also allowing more than seven points more per game than they did last season.

Sound the Alarm - One Time
The only concerning loss of the three was the one to Indiana at home.  A big part of their success last year can be attributed to their ability to defend their home court.  They were 31-10 in Charlotte.  Still, D.J. Augustin has gotten off to a good start, as has Tyrus Thomas.  Those two will be the keys to the Bobcats' success this season.  Also, the last couple of playoff spots in the Eastern Conference will likely go to teams with sub-.500 records.

Detroit Pistons
How'd they get to 0-3?
101-98 at New Jersey, 105-104 to Oklahoma City at home and 101-91 at Chicago

What's gone wrong?
The Pistons cannot finish the game.  They are dead last in the NBA in 4th quarter scoring differential at -7.3.  They've also struggled to start the offense by taking the ball from the other team.  At 4.8%, their steal percentage is ranked 27th in the NBA.  Individually they are not getting good minutes from Richard Hamilton, Austin Daye or Tracy McGrady.

Sound the Alarm - Two Times
Detroit played well at home against OKC but the trend of blowing leads in the 4th quarter is a dangerous one.  Hamilton seems to have dropped even another level down and they are getting nothing from McGrady.  Like the Bobcats, the Pistons have the advantage of playing in the Eastern Conference.  They need to get right quickly and win some of the key games that lie in their November schedule.

Houston Rockets
How'd they get to 0-3?
112-110 at Lakers, 132-128 at Golden State and 107-94 to Denver at home

What's gone wrong?
The Rockets have been trying to work Yao back to health but he hasn't helped when he's been on the floor.  He was a team worst -19 against the Nuggets and worst among the starters at -6 against the Lakers.  They have also posted the NBA's worst defensive efficiency allowing 1.116 points per possession.

Sound the Alarm - Three Times
There is very little margin for error in the Western Conference.  Last season the eighth seed had 50 wins and it's very likely that you may need 50 wins to make the Western Conference playoffs again in 2010-11.  Houston has had some good individual play from Luis Scola and Kevin Martin so far.  But they will need a total team commitment to improving the defense if they are going to earn a playoff spot.

Los Angeles Clippers
How'd they get to 0-3?
98-88 to Portland at home, 109-91 at Golden State and 99-83 to Dallas at home

What's gone wrong?
It's the offense.  The Clippers are last in the NBA in offensive efficiency at .91 points per possession, last in points per game at 87.3 and 29th in scoring margin at -14.7.  This is largely a result of their last in the NBA field goal percentage of 37.7.  The Clippers are equal opportunity offenders.  The highest shooting percentage for a player taking more than four shots per game is 42. 

Sound the Alarm - Four Times
Playoffs was a word thrown around for the Clippers before the season started.  Three games in that is a pipe dream.  They have struggled severely to put the ball in the hoop.  Their next six games are home against San Antonio and Oklahoma City and then on the road at Denver, Utah, New Orleans and San Antonio.  They are staring 0-9 in the face.

Philadelphia 76ers
How'd they get to 0-3?
97-87 to Miami at home, 104-101 to Atlanta at home and 99-86 at Indiana

What's gone wrong?
For the Sixers it is the third quarter.  On average they are giving up 10 more points than they score in the third quarter.  This was especially damaging in what should be considered their most winnable game, at Indiana.  They came out of the locker room at half time tied at 51.  When the third quarter ended they were down by 12.  Individually they need Jrue Holiday to play better.  The second-year point guard is shooting less than 33% and barely exceeding his turnovers with assists.

Sound the Alarm - One Time
The next three games for Philadelphia are winnable so they could be at .500 in a week.  Andre Iguodala, Lou Williams, Elton Brand and Thaddeus Young are all playing good basketball.  If Holiday can pick his game up and the 76ers can find a way to improve their performance in the third quarter they can contend for an Eastern Conference playoff spot.

What are your observations on these five teams?  What would you prescribe to help them get more wins?  Let me know your thoughts by posting a comment below.

Sunday, October 10, 2010

Detroit Pistons - Better or Worse

After a long run as one of the Eastern Conference elite the Pistons have fallen quickly the last two years.  They made a couple of big signings before last season, Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva, but neither really panned out.  With injuries mixed in with a lack of chemistry, Detroit could not get it together in the '09-'10 campaign.  They made a few moves in an effort to help fortify the team in the offseason.  Will it be enough to force a return to playoff contention?

(Note: The rankings you see referenced below are fully explained in my initial NBA point guard rankings post)


Photo source: farlane

Point Guard
2009 - Rodney Stuckey (#29 PG, Level 6), Will Bynum (#52 PG, Level 10)
2010 - Rodney Stuckey (#29 PG, Level 6), Will Bynum (#52 PG, Level 10)

There will be no change in the depth chart at point guard next season.  Stuckey took a big step last year toward becoming the player the Pistons hoped he would be when they drafted him three years ago.  But he is more of a shoot first type of player.  Bynum is a solid backup who brings excellent energy off the bench in more of a traditional point guard role.

Shooting Guard
2009 - Richard Hamilton (#40 SG, Level 7), Ben Gordon (#47 SG, Level 8)
2010 - Richard Hamilton (#40 SG, Level 7), Ben Gordon (#47 SG, Level 8)

The Pistons did not get the level of production from the shooting guard position that they had hoped for last season.  It's not so much the offensive side of the ball where they struggled, although both Hamilton and Gordon saw their field goal percentages drop drastically, but the defensive side. 

Small Forward
2009 - Tayshaun Prince (#16 SF, Level 5), Austin Daye (#40 SF, Level 9)
2010 - Tayshaun Prince (#16 SF, Level 5), Tracy McGrady (#56 SG, Level 9)

Continuing to be underappreciated, Prince had a productive year while consistently being mentioned in trade rumors.  The Pistons should not cut in to Daye's development playing time for McGrady.

Power Forward
2009 - Jonas Jerebko (#46 PF, Level 7), Charlie Villanueva (#54 PF, Level 8)
2010 - Charlie Villanueva (#54 PF, Level 8), Chris Wilcox (Did not qualify)

Just this week Jerebko was injured and looks to be out five to six months.  That is unfortunate for the Pistons to say the least.  It looks like they will now have to count more on Villanueva than expected.  Wilcox missed most of last year with injuries.

Center
2009 - Ben Wallace (#14 C, Level 4), Jason Maxiell (#56 PF, Level 9)
2010 - Ben Wallace (#14 C, Level 4), Greg Monroe (Rookie)

A return to Detroit led to a revitalization for Wallace last season.  The Pistons will hope for that to continue this year as they work lottery pick Monroe into the rotation.  He will bring an excellent low post passing presence to the offense.

Overall
The Pistons biggest struggle in the '09-'10 season came on the offensive end of the court.  They finished 29th in the NBA in points per game and 30th in three-point field-goal percentage. To be successful this season they'll need their guards to start hitting the outside shot more consistently.  They also need McGrady to give them some pop off the bench and Monroe to come in and generate some offense through the low and high posts.

Last year Detroit finished with a 27-55 record.  With their projected lineup as it is, I expect the Pistons to be even at every position.  I just think that any improvement will be offset by the aging of some of their key pieces.

In the final verdict the Pistons are the SAME.  As they are currently constructed I predict they will again finish with a 27-55 record.