Showing posts with label Charlotte Bobcats. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Charlotte Bobcats. Show all posts

Monday, November 1, 2010

What's Gone Wrong with the NBA's 0-3 Teams?

It's almost a full week into the NBA season.  There are five teams in the NBA that have gotten off to an 0-3 start - Charlotte Bobcats, Detroit Pistons, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Clippers and Philadelphia 76ers.  While that is certainly not a death sentence, it's never a good idea to dig yourself a hole at the beginning of the season.  Each team has its own reasons for its slow start and different levels of hope for the future.

Phot source: lanchongzi
Charlotte Bobcats
How'd they get to 0-3?
101-86 at Dallas, 104-101 to Indiana at home and 98-88 at Milwaukee

What's gone wrong?
The Bobcats are 29th in the NBA in turnovers, averaging 18.3 per game.  That is especially bad because they play at the 29th slowest pace in the NBA.  Gerald Wallace is the biggest offender.  He's averaging five turnovers a game.  Charlotte is also allowing more than seven points more per game than they did last season.

Sound the Alarm - One Time
The only concerning loss of the three was the one to Indiana at home.  A big part of their success last year can be attributed to their ability to defend their home court.  They were 31-10 in Charlotte.  Still, D.J. Augustin has gotten off to a good start, as has Tyrus Thomas.  Those two will be the keys to the Bobcats' success this season.  Also, the last couple of playoff spots in the Eastern Conference will likely go to teams with sub-.500 records.

Detroit Pistons
How'd they get to 0-3?
101-98 at New Jersey, 105-104 to Oklahoma City at home and 101-91 at Chicago

What's gone wrong?
The Pistons cannot finish the game.  They are dead last in the NBA in 4th quarter scoring differential at -7.3.  They've also struggled to start the offense by taking the ball from the other team.  At 4.8%, their steal percentage is ranked 27th in the NBA.  Individually they are not getting good minutes from Richard Hamilton, Austin Daye or Tracy McGrady.

Sound the Alarm - Two Times
Detroit played well at home against OKC but the trend of blowing leads in the 4th quarter is a dangerous one.  Hamilton seems to have dropped even another level down and they are getting nothing from McGrady.  Like the Bobcats, the Pistons have the advantage of playing in the Eastern Conference.  They need to get right quickly and win some of the key games that lie in their November schedule.

Houston Rockets
How'd they get to 0-3?
112-110 at Lakers, 132-128 at Golden State and 107-94 to Denver at home

What's gone wrong?
The Rockets have been trying to work Yao back to health but he hasn't helped when he's been on the floor.  He was a team worst -19 against the Nuggets and worst among the starters at -6 against the Lakers.  They have also posted the NBA's worst defensive efficiency allowing 1.116 points per possession.

Sound the Alarm - Three Times
There is very little margin for error in the Western Conference.  Last season the eighth seed had 50 wins and it's very likely that you may need 50 wins to make the Western Conference playoffs again in 2010-11.  Houston has had some good individual play from Luis Scola and Kevin Martin so far.  But they will need a total team commitment to improving the defense if they are going to earn a playoff spot.

Los Angeles Clippers
How'd they get to 0-3?
98-88 to Portland at home, 109-91 at Golden State and 99-83 to Dallas at home

What's gone wrong?
It's the offense.  The Clippers are last in the NBA in offensive efficiency at .91 points per possession, last in points per game at 87.3 and 29th in scoring margin at -14.7.  This is largely a result of their last in the NBA field goal percentage of 37.7.  The Clippers are equal opportunity offenders.  The highest shooting percentage for a player taking more than four shots per game is 42. 

Sound the Alarm - Four Times
Playoffs was a word thrown around for the Clippers before the season started.  Three games in that is a pipe dream.  They have struggled severely to put the ball in the hoop.  Their next six games are home against San Antonio and Oklahoma City and then on the road at Denver, Utah, New Orleans and San Antonio.  They are staring 0-9 in the face.

Philadelphia 76ers
How'd they get to 0-3?
97-87 to Miami at home, 104-101 to Atlanta at home and 99-86 at Indiana

What's gone wrong?
For the Sixers it is the third quarter.  On average they are giving up 10 more points than they score in the third quarter.  This was especially damaging in what should be considered their most winnable game, at Indiana.  They came out of the locker room at half time tied at 51.  When the third quarter ended they were down by 12.  Individually they need Jrue Holiday to play better.  The second-year point guard is shooting less than 33% and barely exceeding his turnovers with assists.

Sound the Alarm - One Time
The next three games for Philadelphia are winnable so they could be at .500 in a week.  Andre Iguodala, Lou Williams, Elton Brand and Thaddeus Young are all playing good basketball.  If Holiday can pick his game up and the 76ers can find a way to improve their performance in the third quarter they can contend for an Eastern Conference playoff spot.

What are your observations on these five teams?  What would you prescribe to help them get more wins?  Let me know your thoughts by posting a comment below.

Friday, October 1, 2010

Charlotte Bobcats - Better or Worse

Photo source: contemplicity
Charlotte took another step in the right direction last season.  For the first time in their six year history they finished with a record above .500 and made the playoffs.  They've built their team through the trade market over the past couple of years to match head coach Larry Brown's playing style.  They've tried to tweak it even more during the offseason by getting involved in multiple team trades, but so far none of those deals have come to fruition.  Are additional moves necessary or are the Bobcats positioned for success?

(Note: The rankings you see referenced below are fully explained in my initial NBA point guard rankings post)

Point Guard
2009 - Raymond Felton (#10 PG, Level 3), D.J. Augustin (#46 PG, Level 9)
2010 - D.J. Augustin (#46 PG, Level 9), Shaun Livingston (#45 PG, Level 9)

Point guard is the position the Bobcats have been looking to improve through trades, and for good reason.  They lost Felton to free agency and now need either Augustin to make a huge improvement or Livingston to reach the potential that injuries have prevented him from reaching.

Shooting Guard
2009 - Stephen Jackson (#15 SG, Level 4), Larry Hughes (#50 SG, Level 8)
2010 - Stephen Jackson (#15 SG, Level 4), Gerald Henderson (did not qualify in '09)

There will not be many minutes to be found behind Jackson, but those that are available are likely to go to second year man Henderson who struggled to find playing time as a rookie.  Concerns should exist about Jackson's age catching up with him.

Small Forward
2009 - Gerald Wallace (#4 SF, Level 2), Stephen Graham (#43 SF, Level 9)
2010 - Gerald Wallace (#4 SF, Level 2), Derrick Brown (#52 PF, Level 8)

Even fewer minutes will be available at small forward.  Wallace averaged 41.0 minutes a game last year while performing as well as any small forward in the league not named LeBron or Durant.

Power Forward
2009 - Boris Diaw (#43 PF, Level 7), Tyrus Thomas (#22 PF, Level 5)
2010 - Tyrus Thomas (#22 PF, Level 5), Boris Diaw (#43 PF, Level 7)

Thomas came in just before the trade deadline and played well for the Bobcats.  They rewarded him with a five-year contract.  Now it's time for him to step his game up.  Diaw played poorly last season and Charlotte has been trying to unload him.

Center
2009 - Nazr Mohammed (#8 C, Level 3), Tyson Chandler (#34 C, Level 7), Theo Ratliff (#49 C, Level 8)
2010 - Nazr Mohammed (#8 C, Level 3), DeSagana Diop (did not qualify in '09)

A weird mix of big men played for the Bobcats at center last season.  The Tyson Chandler experiment is over as they traded him to Dallas in what was basically a salary dump.  Mohammed was very productive in limited time in '09-'10.

Overall
The Bobcats had a 44-38 record in the '09-'10 season.  They lost a big piece in Felton and have really done nothing to improve their team.  Meanwhile, one of their divisional foes, the Miami Heat, have improved dramatically.  They were 3-1 against the Heat last year but that is likely to reverse in the '10-'11 season.  To maintain their standing the Bobcats will need to see major production from Augustin or Livingston at the point, while Thomas takes a big step forward at the four.  Of course, they may also, finally, secure a point guard through a trade.  But, as they are now, I've got them picking up two wins at the power forward position, staying even at shooting guard and small forward, and losing five at point guard and one at center.

In the final verdict the Bobcats are WORSE.  As they are currently constructed I predict their record to be 40-42.

What do you think?  Am I too cynical about the Bobcats?  Let me know your thoughts in the comments section below.